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Bills @ RaidersSun 4:25 PM ET

Bills

100% hit · every game

🔥 Ashton Jeanty: 25+ rushing yards — 10 of 10 games (price says 87%)Avg 17.6 carries · 58 yds (L5)Parlay leg · Fantasy floor

Value · beats the price

Josh Allen: 2+ TDs — hit 5 of 10, price says 22% · +28% edgeAvg 28 attempts · 18.2 completions · 250 yds (L5)Straight bet · Fantasy upside
Mike Washington Jr.: 40+ rushing yards — hit 2 of 5, price says 16% · +24% edgeAvg 5.0 carries · 25 yds (L5)Straight bet · Fantasy upside
Keon Coleman: scored a TD — hit 4 of 10, price says 23% · +17% edgeAvg 3.6 targets · 3.0 catches · 45 yds (L5)Straight bet · Fantasy upside
Ty Johnson: 15+ receiving yards — hit 7 of 10, price says 53% · +17% edgeAvg 3.2 targets · 3.0 catches · 37 yds (L5)Straight bet · Fantasy upside

Sleepers · low-owned, rising, easy matchup

Cody White (Raiders wide receiver): 0% owned · on the field 48% of plays lately (34% this season) · Bills give up the 4th-most wide receiver yardsLong-shot parlay leg · Fantasy pickup

Man vs zone · 2025 data

Dawson Knox: better vs zonevs zone: 11.0 yds/target · 83% caught · 24 targets vs man: 5.8 yds/target · 62% caught · 26 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Keon Coleman: better vs zonevs zone: 8.4 yds/target · 67% caught · 30 targets vs man: 5.1 yds/target · 56% caught · 32 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Jalen Nailor: better vs manvs zone: 7.2 yds/target · 54% caught · 26 targets vs man: 9.2 yds/target · 54% caught · 28 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Tre Tucker: better vs manvs zone: 6.9 yds/target · 65% caught · 62 targets vs man: 8.9 yds/target · 57% caught · 30 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Khalil Shakir: better vs zonevs zone: 7.7 yds/target · 79% caught · 56 targets vs man: 6.2 yds/target · 68% caught · 41 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Brock Bowers: better vs manvs zone: 7.4 yds/target · 78% caught · 54 targets vs man: 8.5 yds/target · 67% caught · 33 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
DJ Moore: better vs manvs zone: 7.8 yds/target · 59% caught · 58 targets vs man: 8.0 yds/target · 59% caught · 27 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Greg Dortch: better vs manvs zone: 4.8 yds/target · 85% caught · 26 targets vs man: 11.4 yds/target · 100% caught · 7 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Jack Bech: better vs manvs zone: 6.0 yds/target · 69% caught · 16 targets vs man: 9.8 yds/target · 69% caught · 13 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Dont'e Thornton Jr.: better vs zonevs zone: 5.8 yds/target · 42% caught · 19 targets vs man: 2.3 yds/target · 18% caught · 11 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Dalton Kincaid: better vs zonevs zone: 12.7 yds/target · 87% caught · 31 targets vs man: 9.4 yds/target · 63% caught · 19 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Michael Mayer: better vs manvs zone: 6.1 yds/target · 68% caught · 41 targets vs man: 8.7 yds/target · 78% caught · 9 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Josh Palmer: better vs zonevs zone: 10.4 yds/target · 61% caught · 18 targets vs man: 7.8 yds/target · 58% caught · 19 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Tyrell Shavers: better vs manvs zone: 11.5 yds/target · 67% caught · 12 targets vs man: 11.6 yds/target · 64% caught · 11 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit

Their defense

Raiders defense gives up the 3rd-most tight end TDs
Raiders defense gives up the 4th-most running back rushing yards
Raiders defense gives up the 6th-most QB passing TDs
Raiders defense allows the 6th-fewest wide receiver catches
Raiders defense allows the 7th-fewest running back catches
Raiders defense gives up the 8th-most QB passing yards
Raiders defense gives up the 8th-most tight end catches
Raiders defense allows the 3rd-fewest running back targets
Raiders defense gives up the 5th-most QB yards per attempt
Raiders defense gives up the 5th-longest wide receiver catches
Raiders defense gives up the 7th-most wide receiver yards per target
Raiders defense gives up the 7th-most tight end yards after catch
Raiders defense allows the 8th-fewest QB completions

Your offense

Bills offense has the 6th-most running back rushing yards
Bills offense has the 7th-most running back rushing TDs
Bills offense has the most QB carries
Bills offense has the most QB yards per attempt
Bills offense has the most tight end yards per target
Bills offense has the 2nd-most QB rushing yards
Bills offense has the 4th-most wide receiver yards per target
Bills offense has the 4th-fewest QB pass attempts
Bills offense has the 5th-fewest QB completions
Bills offense has the 6th-most running back yards after catch
Bills offense has the 7th-most running back receiving yards
Bills offense has the 7th-fewest wide receiver targets

Your defense

Bills defense gives up the most wide receiver catches
Bills defense gives up the 2nd-most QB passing yards
Bills defense gives up the 2nd-most wide receiver TDs
Bills defense gives up the 3rd-most running back catches
Bills defense gives up the 4th-most wide receiver yards
Bills defense gives up the 4th-most QB passing TDs
Bills defense gives up the 6th-most running back rushing TDs
Bills defense allows the 8th-fewest tight end TDs
Bills defense gives up the most running back targets
Bills defense gives up the 2nd-most QB completions
Bills defense gives up the 2nd-most wide receiver targets
Bills defense gives up the 3rd-most QB pass attempts
Bills defense gives up the 3rd-most running back receiving yards
Bills defense allows the 3rd-shortest wide receiver catches
Bills defense gives up the 5th-most running back yards after catch
Bills defense gives up the 6th-most running back rushing TDs
Bills defense gives up the 7th-most wide receiver yards after catch

Hot streaks

Josh Allen — 9 of 10 games: 175+ passing yardsAvg 28 attempts · 18.2 completions · 250 yds (L5)
Tre Tucker — 9 of 10 games: 15+ receiving yardsAvg 5.6 targets · 3.8 catches · 55 yds (L5)
Kirk Cousins — 9 of 10 games: 150+ passing yardsAvg 34 attempts · 22 completions · 254 yds (L5)
Josh Allen — 9 of 10 games: 15+ rushing yardsAvg 8.6 carries · 48 yds (L5)
Kirk Cousins — 9 of 10 games: 1+ passing TDsAvg 34 attempts · 22 completions · 254 yds (L5)
James Cook III — 7 of 10 games: 70+ rushing yardsAvg 19.0 carries · 106 yds (L5)
Brock Bowers — 7 of 10 games: 40+ receiving yardsAvg 9.4 targets · 7.0 catches · 75 yds (L5)
Ty Johnson — 7 of 10 games: 15+ receiving yardsAvg 3.2 targets · 3.0 catches · 37 yds (L5)
Dalton Kincaid — 7 of 10 games: 25+ receiving yardsAvg 4.2 targets · 3.2 catches · 55 yds (L5)
Josh Allen — 7 of 10 games: 1+ passing TDsAvg 28 attempts · 18.2 completions · 250 yds (L5)
Josh Allen — 7 of 10 games: scored a TDAvg 28 attempts · 18.2 completions · 250 yds (L5)

Survivor · this week + the next 3

Bills — 68% to win at RaidersWk 6 @LV 68%Wk 7 byeWk 8 BALWk 9 @MINSurvivor pick · Next 4 weeks
Week colors: green = easy opponent, red = tough.
Stats, not picks. 21+ · Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Data: NFL play-by-play via nflverse, updated daily.