Chargers @ ChiefsSun 4:25 PM ET
Chiefs
100% hit · every game
🔥 Patrick Mahomes: 150+ passing yards — 10 of 10 games (price says 90%)Avg 31 attempts · 19.6 completions · 245 yds (L5)Parlay leg · Fantasy floor
🔥 Kenneth Walker III: 50+ rushing yards — 10 of 10 games (price says 89%)Avg 23 carries · 134 yds (L5)Parlay leg · Fantasy floor
Value · beats the price
Omarion Hampton: scored a TD — hit 6 of 10, price says 25% · +35% edgeAvg 1.2 targets · 1.0 catches · 7.0 yds (L5)Straight bet · Fantasy upside
Kimani Vidal: 25+ rushing yards — hit 6 of 10, price says 33% · +27% edgeAvg 5.0 carries · 24 yds (L5)Straight bet · Fantasy upside
Justin Herbert: 40+ rushing yards — hit 5 of 10, price says 25% · +25% edgeAvg 4.8 carries · 28 yds (L5)Straight bet · Fantasy upside
Justin Herbert: 1+ passing TDs — hit 9 of 10, price says 67% · +23% edgeAvg 29 attempts · 17.0 completions · 187 yds (L5)Straight bet · Fantasy upside
Keaton Mitchell: 30+ rushing yards — hit 5 of 10, price says 29% · +21% edgeAvg 6.6 carries · 27 yds (L5)Straight bet · Fantasy upside
Kenneth Walker III: 90+ rushing yards — hit 7 of 10, price says 50% · +20% edgeAvg 23 carries · 134 yds (L5)Straight bet · Fantasy upside
Patrick Mahomes: 225+ passing yards — hit 7 of 10, price says 54% · +16% edgeAvg 31 attempts · 19.6 completions · 245 yds (L5)Straight bet · Fantasy upside
Kenneth Walker III: 25+ receiving yards — hit 6 of 10, price says 45% · +15% edgeAvg 4.6 targets · 2.8 catches · 22 yds (L5)Straight bet · Fantasy upside
Sleepers · low-owned, rising, easy matchup
Oronde Gadsden II (Chargers tight end): 4% owned · on the field 57% of plays lately (46% this season) · Chiefs give up the 3rd-most tight end yardsLong-shot parlay leg · Fantasy pickup
Man vs zone · 2025 data
Rashee Rice: better vs zonevs zone: 9.0 yds/target · 73% caught · 55 targets
vs man: 3.1 yds/target · 54% caught · 24 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Oronde Gadsden II: better vs zonevs zone: 10.7 yds/target · 75% caught · 44 targets
vs man: 7.8 yds/target · 64% caught · 25 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Ladd McConkey: better vs zonevs zone: 8.0 yds/target · 73% caught · 56 targets
vs man: 6.8 yds/target · 50% caught · 50 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Xavier Worthy: better vs zonevs zone: 7.5 yds/target · 63% caught · 49 targets
vs man: 6.8 yds/target · 46% caught · 24 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Quentin Johnston: better vs zonevs zone: 9.1 yds/target · 60% caught · 48 targets
vs man: 8.3 yds/target · 61% caught · 36 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Travis Kelce: better vs zonevs zone: 8.0 yds/target · 70% caught · 71 targets
vs man: 7.5 yds/target · 68% caught · 38 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Tyquan Thornton: better vs zonevs zone: 14.9 yds/target · 50% caught · 20 targets
vs man: 8.2 yds/target · 53% caught · 17 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
JuJu Smith-Schuster: better vs zonevs zone: 9.6 yds/target · 83% caught · 30 targets
vs man: 3.8 yds/target · 53% caught · 15 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Marquez Valdes-Scantling: better vs zonevs zone: 6.1 yds/target · 75% caught · 16 targets
vs man: 1.7 yds/target · 15% caught · 13 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
David Njoku: better vs zonevs zone: 7.0 yds/target · 74% caught · 34 targets
vs man: 3.9 yds/target · 57% caught · 14 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Tre Harris: better vs zonevs zone: 8.6 yds/target · 77% caught · 26 targets
vs man: 5.9 yds/target · 59% caught · 17 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Noah Gray: better vs zonevs zone: 5.0 yds/target · 43% caught · 21 targets
vs man: 4.3 yds/target · 71% caught · 17 targetsYardage prop · Fantasy start/sit
Their defense
Chargers defense allows the 6th-fewest QB passing yards
Chargers defense allows the 6th-fewest tight end catches
Chargers defense allows the 7th-fewest running back catches
Chargers defense allows the 8th-fewest tight end TDs
Chargers defense allows the 2nd-fewest wide receiver yards after catch
Chargers defense allows the 3rd-fewest wide receiver targets
Chargers defense gives up the 4th-most running back carries
Chargers defense allows the 4th-fewest QB pass attempts
Chargers defense allows the 5th-fewest QB completions
Chargers defense allows the 5th-fewest tight end targets
Chargers defense allows the 7th-fewest QB rushing yards
Chargers defense allows the 7th-shortest wide receiver catches
Chargers defense gives up the 8th-most QB carries
Your offense
Chiefs offense has the 2nd-most running back rushing yards
Chiefs offense has the 3rd-most tight end yards
Chiefs offense has the 4th-most QB passing TDs
Chiefs offense has the 7th-most running back rushing TDs
Chiefs offense has the 7th-most wide receiver TDs
Chiefs offense has the most tight end yards after catch
Chiefs offense has the 3rd-most tight end yards per target
Chiefs offense has the 4th-most running back carries
Chiefs offense has the 4th-most running back yards after catch
Chiefs offense has the 5th-most QB yards per attempt
Chiefs offense has the 5th-most wide receiver yards after catch
Chiefs offense has the 6th-most running back receiving yards
Chiefs offense has the 8th-most wide receiver yards per target
Chiefs offense has the 8th-fewest wide receiver targets
Your defense
Chiefs defense allows the fewest wide receiver TDs
Chiefs defense allows the 2nd-fewest wide receiver yards
Chiefs defense gives up the 2nd-most tight end catches
Chiefs defense gives up the 3rd-most tight end yards
Chiefs defense allows the 3rd-fewest running back rushing yards
Chiefs defense allows the 3rd-fewest QB passing TDs
Chiefs defense gives up the 5th-most tight end TDs
Chiefs defense allows the 5th-fewest wide receiver catches
Chiefs defense allows the fewest wide receiver yards per target
Chiefs defense gives up the 2nd-most tight end targets
Chiefs defense gives up the 5th-most QB pass attempts
Chiefs defense allows the 5th-fewest QB yards per attempt
Chiefs defense gives up the 6th-most running back yards after catch
Chiefs defense allows the 6th-fewest wide receiver yards after catch
Chiefs defense gives up the 7th-most QB completions
Chiefs defense gives up the 7th-longest tight end catches
Chiefs defense gives up the 8th-most tight end yards after catch
Hot streaks
Justin Herbert — 9 of 10 games: 125+ passing yardsAvg 29 attempts · 17.0 completions · 187 yds (L5)
Justin Herbert — 9 of 10 games: 1+ passing TDsAvg 29 attempts · 17.0 completions · 187 yds (L5)
Keaton Mitchell — 8 of 10 games: 10+ rushing yardsAvg 6.6 carries · 27 yds (L5)
Justin Herbert — 8 of 10 games: 15+ rushing yardsAvg 4.8 carries · 28 yds (L5)
Kimani Vidal — 8 of 10 games: 10+ rushing yardsAvg 5.0 carries · 24 yds (L5)
Xavier Worthy — 7 of 10 games: 25+ receiving yardsAvg 5.0 targets · 2.8 catches · 27 yds (L5)
Kenneth Walker III — 7 of 10 games: 15+ receiving yardsAvg 4.6 targets · 2.8 catches · 22 yds (L5)
Survivor · this week + the next 3
Chiefs — 79% to win vs ChargersWk 6 LAC 79%Wk 7 @SEA 43%Wk 8 @DENWk 9 NYJSurvivor pick · Next 4 weeks
Week colors: green = easy opponent, red = tough.